Updated on 2025/09/30

写真a

 
ohashi kazuhiko
 
Organization
Tokyo Tech Academy of Energy and Informatics Professor
Title
Professor
External link

Degree

  • 博士(経営学) ( マサチューセッツ工科大学(米国) )

  • Master ( Hitotsubashi University )

  • Ph D(Management) ( Massachusetts Institute of Technology (U.S.A) )

Research Interests

  • 財務管理

  • Energy

  • Finance

  • Commodities

Research Areas

  • Humanities & Social Sciences / Money and finance

Education

  • Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Sloon School of Management   Graduate School, Division of Administration   Management (Finance)

    1988.9 - 1993.5

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    Country: United States

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  • Hitotsubashi University   Graduate School of Economics

    1986.4 - 1988.3

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    Country: Japan

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  • Hitotsubashi University   Faculty of Economics

    1982.4 - 1986.3

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    Country: Japan

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Research History

  • Tokyo Institute of Technology   Tokyo Tech Academy of Energy and Informatics   Professor

    2021.4

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    Notes:Cross apointment

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  • Hitotsubashi University   Graduate School of Business Administration Department of Business Administration   Professor

    2018.4

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  • Hitotsubashi University   Graduate School of International Corporate Strategy   Professor

    2007.4 - 2018.3

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  • Hitotsubashi University   Graduate School of International Corporate Strategy   Associate Professor

    1999.4 - 2007.3

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    Country:Japan

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  • University of Chicago   School of Business   Visiting Scholar

    1999.3 - 2000.1

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    Country:United States

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  • Hitotsubashi University   Graduate School of Commerce and Management   Associate Professor

    1998.4 - 1999.3

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    Country:Japan

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  • Hitotsubashi University   Faculty of Commerce and Management   Assistant Professor

    1997.4 - 1999.3

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    Country:Japan

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  • University of Tsukuba   Assistant Professor

    1994.4 - 1997.3

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    Country:Japan

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Professional Memberships

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Papers

  • The pre-FOMC announcement drift: short-lived or long-lasting? Evidence from financial and volatility markets Reviewed

    Katja Ignatieva, Kazuhiko Ohashi

    Applied Economics   1 - 17   2024.2

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    Language:English   Publishing type:Research paper (scientific journal)   Publisher:Informa UK Limited  

    DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2024.2322573

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  • Dynamic Relationship between Volatility Risk Premia of Stock and Oil Returns Reviewed

    Nobuhiro Nakamura, Kazuhiko Ohashi, Daisuke Yokouchi

    Journal of Risk and Financial Management   17 ( 3 )   173 - 173   2023.3

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    Authorship:Corresponding author   Language:English   Publishing type:Research paper (scientific journal)   Publisher:MDPI AG  

    This study investigates the relationship between the volatility risk premia (VRP) of stock and oil returns. Using daily data on VRP from 10 May 2007 to 16 May 2017, VAR analyses on the stock and oil VRP are conducted, and it is found that the effects of the stock VRP on the oil VRP are limited and, if any, short-lived. In contrast, the VRP of oil has significantly positive and long-lasting effects on the stock VRP after the financial crisis. These results suggest that investors’ sentiments (measured by VRP) are transmitted from the oil to the stock market over time, but not vice versa. This is unexpected because the financialization of commodities means a massive increase in investment in commodities by investors in the traditional stock and bond markets; hence, the direction of effects is thought to be from the stock to the commodity market.

    DOI: 10.3390/jrfm16030173

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  • When is a CAT Index Futures Traded and Preferred to Reinsurance? – Tradeoff Between Basis Risk and Adverse Selection – Reviewed

    Kazuhiko Ohashi

    Journal of Disaster Research   17 ( 2 )   218 - 229   2022.2

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    Authorship:Corresponding author   Language:English   Publishing type:Research paper (scientific journal)   Publisher:Fuji Technology Press Ltd.  

    Insurance risks have traditionally been borne in reinsurance markets. However, in the 1990s, after a series of huge natural disasters, and consequently massive insurance payments, the reinsurance markets reduced their capacity to bear risks. Insurance-linked securities, such as CAT (catastrophe) index futures contracts, were created to provide insurers with a way to transfer insurance risks to capital markets. However, two obstacles are preventing CAT index futures from being traded: the basis risk between insurers’ risks and the futures payoff, and adverse selection between informed insurers and uninformed investors in capital markets. This study investigates the conditions under which CAT index futures, whose payoff is the average of insurers’ losses, can be traded, and insurers choose CAT index futures rather than reinsurance to transfer their risks. The results show a trade-off: CAT index futures can be traded if the number of insurers in the index is large enough, since averaging multiple insurers’ losses can mitigate adverse selection in the index futures’ payoff. However, if the number of insurers in the index is too large, insurers prefer reinsurance to index futures due to the high basis risk in the futures’ payoff.

    DOI: 10.20965/jdr.2022.p0218

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  • The Most Basic Missing Instrument in Financial Markets: The Case for Bonds for Financial Security (jointly worked) Reviewed

    Arun Muralidhar, Kazuhiko Ohashi, Sunghwan Shin

    Journal of Investment Consulting   17 ( 2 )   34 - 47   2016.12

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  • Commodity Spread Option with Cointegration Reviewed

    Katsushi Nakajima, Kazuhiko Ohashi

    Asia-Pacific Financial Markets   23 ( 1 )   1 - 44   2016.3

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    Language:English   Publishing type:Research paper (scientific journal)   Publisher:Springer New York LLC  

    DOI: 10.1007/s10690-015-9207-1

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  • Increasing trends in the excess comovement of commodity prices Reviewed

    Kazuhiko Ohashi, Tatsuyoshi Okimoto

    Journal of Commodity Markets   1 ( 1 )   48 - 64   2016.3

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    Authorship:Lead author   Language:English   Publishing type:Research paper (scientific journal)   Publisher:Elsevier  

    DOI: 10.1016/j.jcomm.2016.02.001

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  • The relative asset pricing model: implications for asset allocation, rebalancing and asset pricing (jointly worked)

    Kazuhiko OHASHI, coauthored with Arun Muralidhar, Sunghwan Shi

    Journal of Financial Perspectives   3 ( 1 )   2015.4

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  • The Relative Asset Pricing Model: Toward a Unified Theory of Asset Pricing (jointly worked) Reviewed

    Kazuhiko OHASHI, coauthored with Arun Muralidhar, Sunghwan Shi

    Journal of Investment Consulting   15 ( 1 )   51 - 66   2014.4

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  • Emission Allowance as a Derivative on Commodity-Spread (jointly worked) Reviewed

    Kazuhiko OHASHI, coauthored with, Katsushi NAKAJIMA

    Asia-Pacific Financial Markets   40   183 - 217   2013.4

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  • A cointegrated commodity pricing model Reviewed

    Katsushi Nakajima, Kazuhiko Ohashi

    JOURNAL OF FUTURES MARKETS   32 ( 11 )   995 - 1033   2012.11

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    Language:English   Publishing type:Research paper (scientific journal)  

    DOI: 10.1002/fut.20553

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  • "Pricing Summer Days Options by Good-Deal Bounds," (jointly worked) Reviewed

    Kazuhiko OHASHI, coauthored with, Takashi KANAMURA

    Energy Economics   31   289 - 297   2009.4

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  • On Transition Probabilities of Regime Switching in Electricity Prices (jointly worked) Reviewed

    Kazuhiko OHASHI, coauthored with, Takashi KANAMURA

    Energy Economics   30   1158 - 1172   2008.4

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  • A Structural Model for Electriciy Prices with Spikes: Measurement of Spike Risk and Optimal Policies for Hydropower Plant Operation (jointly worked) Reviewed

    Kazuhiko OHASHI, coauthored with, Takashi KANAMURA

    Energy Economics   29   1010 - 1032   2007.4

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  • Security innovation on several assets under asymmetric information Reviewed

    Kazuhiko Ohashi

    Japanese Economic Review   50 ( 1 )   75 - 95   1999

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    Language:English   Publishing type:Research paper (scientific journal)   Publisher:Blackwell Publishing Ltd  

    DOI: 10.1111/1468-5876.00104

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  • Optimal Futures Innovation in a Dynamic Economy : The Discrete-Time Case Reviewed

    大橋 和彦

    Journal of Economic Theory   74 ( 2 )   448 - 465   1997.4

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  • Endogenous determination of the degree of market-incompleteness in futures innovation Reviewed

    Kazuhiko Ohashi

    Journal of Economic Theory   65 ( 1 )   198 - 217   1995

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    Language:English   Publishing type:Research paper (scientific journal)  

    DOI: 10.1006/jeth.1995.1007

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  • A NOTE ON THE TERMINAL DATE SECURITY PRICES IN A CONTINUOUS-TIME TRADING MODEL WITH DIVIDENDS Reviewed

    K OHASHI

    JOURNAL OF MATHEMATICAL ECONOMICS   20 ( 2 )   219 - 223   1991

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    Web of Science

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  • Application of big data and AI to finance Invited

    Kazuhiko OHASHI

    IMES DISCUSSION PAPER SERIES, Institute for Monetary and Economic Studies, Bank of Japan   39 ( 3 )   15 - 21   2020.2

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    Language:Japanese   Publishing type:Research paper (other academic)  

    This paper categorizes applications of big data and AI to finance into the following three aspects: (1) to investigate new data, (2) to apply new methods, (3) to deal with new problems arising from the use of new data and new methods, and discuss "interpretability" of AI.

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  • Dynamic Relation between Volatility Risk Premia of Stock and Oil Returns (jointly worked)

    Nobuhiro Nakamura, Kazuhiko Ohashi

    RIETI (Research Institute of Economy, Trade and Industry) Discussion Paper Series 18-E-027   2018.5

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    Volatility risk premium (VRP), defined as the difference between implied and realized volatilities, is found to have predictive power on the returns of many different assets (e.g., stocks, exchange rates, and commodities). While most of the extant research analyzes the return predictability of VRP, in this paper, we instead investigate the relation between the VRP of different assets, specifically stocks and oil. Using daily data of VRP from May 10, 2007 to May 16, 2017, we conduct VAR analyses on the stock and oil VRP and find that the effects of the stocks VRP on the oil VRP are limited and shortlived, if any. On the other hand, the VRP of oil has significantly positive and long-lasting effects on that of stocks after the outbreak of financial crises. These results suggest that the investors’ sentiments (measured by VRP) are transmitted from the oil market to the stock market over time, but not the other way around, which is rather unexpected because financialization of commodities means a massive increase in investment in commodities by investors in traditional stock and bond markets, and hence the direction of effects is thought to be from the stock market to the commodity market.

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  • Finance under negative interest rate policy: Issues and Research Trends Invited

    Kazuhiko OHASHI

    Institute for Monetary and Economic Studies, Bank of Japan, Discussion Paper Series   2018-J-3   2018.2

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    Language:Japanese   Publishing type:Research paper (other academic)  

    Given the situation that interest rates go negative in European and Japanese markets, this paper surveys effects of negative interest rates, issues for financial markets and central banks, and trends in researches. More precicely, this paper first discusses the purpose of negative interest rate policy in Japan and the current economic situation. Then, it points out the challenges caused by the negative interest rate policy under the persistently low inflation rate, especially lowering profits of banks and effects on fund management by pensions and life insurers, and insists the importance of balancing the cost and benefit of negative interest rate policy. Moreover, it discusses as important issues for central banks under negative interest rates (1) Models that can deal with negative interest rates as pricing tool, (2) Central banks' policy announcements and market reaction, (3) Policy evaluationi and economic prediction using AI and text mining. Finally, as developing issues on low and negative interest rates, it discusses demographic dynamics behind low interest rates, ettects of low interest rates on market stability, the limit of negative interest rates and digital currency, and term structure model with negative interest rates.

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  • When is a CAT index futures traded and preferred to reinsurance? — Trade-off between basis risk and adverse selection —

    Kazuhiko Ohashi

    Working Paper Series FS-2017-E-001, Graduate School of International Coreporate Strategy (ICS), Hitotsubashi University   2017.1

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  • Multiple Lenders, Temporary Debt Restructuring, and Firm Performance: Evidence from contract-level data

    Daisuke Miyakawa, Kazuhiko Ohashi

    RIETI Discussion Paper Series 16-E-030   2016.4

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  • Derivatives, Securitization, and Financial Market Crisis : Advances in the last 50 years and challenges in the future Invited

    50 ( 12 )   16 - 29   2012.12

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    Language:Japanese   Publishing type:Research paper (scientific journal)  

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  • 金融危機、金融市場、金融仲介機能に関する研究の潮流 危機がもたらした視点・力点の変化の整理 (共著)

    大橋 和彦

    日本銀行金融研究所「金融研究」   31 ( 4 )   41 - 94   2012.4

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  • On Determinants of Swap Spreads in Japanese ABS Markets (jointly worked)

    Kazuhiko OHASHI, coauthored with, Naoto ISAKA

    Sophia International Review   33   23 - 60   2011.4

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  • Detrimental Effects of Retentin Regulation - Incentives of loan screening in securitization under asymmetric information - (jointly worked)

    大橋 和彦

    IMES DISCUSSION PAPER SERIES 2011-E-17, Bank of Japan   2011.4

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  • 相互関係の考慮とデリバティブ ―商品デリバティブにおける新展開―

    大橋 和彦

    証券アナリストジャーナル   48 ( 2 )   33 - 41   2010.2

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  • Incentives to Issue Low-Quality Securitized Products in the OTD Business Model (jointly worked)

    大橋 和彦

    IMES DISCUSSION PAPER SERIES 2009-E-26, Bank of Japan   2009.4

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  • J-REITのリスク・リターン -市場創設後5年間の月次データによる分析-

    大橋 和彦

    『J-REIT市場の変遷と展望に関する報告書 -J-REIT誕生からの5年間のデータを活用した分析・検討-』 第2章 社団法人不動産証券化協会 J-REIT商品特性研究会   2007.4

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  • 天候デリバティブによる電力会社のリスク管理 (共著)

    大橋 和彦

    日本商品先物振興協会 「先物取引研究」 第10巻 第1号 No.14   10 ( 1 )   15 - 40   2006.4

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    Language:Japanese   Publishing type:Research paper (scientific journal)   Publisher:日本商品先物振興協会  

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  • 機関投資家の運用評価と報酬のあり方 (共著)

    大橋 和彦

    証券アナリストジャーナル   44 ( 1 )   54 - 63   2006.4

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    Language:Japanese   Publishing type:Research paper (scientific journal)   Publisher:日本証券アナリスト協会  

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  • レジーム・スイッチング・モデルによるJ-REITリターンの分析

    大橋 和彦

    不動産証券化協会 「ARES」 Vol.18   80 - 90   2005.4

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  • 「電力価格スパイクの構造型モデル - ジャンプリスクの把握と発電設備の最適運用政策への応用 -」 (共著)

    大橋和彦

    ディスカッションペーパー、ICS 一橋大学(FS-2004-J-05)   2004.5

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  • プリペイメントに関する情報の非対称性とMBS投資のリスク管理

    大橋 和彦

    フィナンシャル・レビュー   2004 ( 70 )   4 - 16   2004.4

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    Language:Japanese   Publishing type:Research paper (scientific journal)   Publisher:国立印刷局  

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  • J-REITリターンのイベントスタディー

    大橋 和彦

    国土交通政策研究   ( 35 )   2004.4

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  • When Should a CAT Index Futures be Created?

    大橋 和彦

    ISER, Osaka Univ. Discussion Paper   576   2003.4

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  • Contractible Signals and Security Design (jointly worked)

    大橋 和彦, co-authored, with Tano Santos, Business School, University of Chicago

    Working Paper FS-2003-E-01, Graduate School of International Corporate Strategy, Hitotsubashi University   2003.4

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  • J-REITのリスク・リターン分析-市場開設から2003年3月までの週次データによる分析-

    大橋 和彦

    国土交通省 国土交通政策研究所 国土交通政策研究   ( 27 )   1 - 2   2003.4

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  • Asset Pricing by Utility Maximization : An Economic Examination of the Esscher Principle

    Kazuhiko Ohashi

    The Hitotsubashi review   126 ( 4 )   400 - 418   2001.10

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    Language:Japanese   Publishing type:Research paper (bulletin of university, research institution)  

    DOI: 10.15057/10354

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  • セキュリティー・デザイン(Security Design)-情報の非対称性の緩和の仕組み-

    大橋 和彦

    証券アナリストジャーナル   39 ( 12 )   15 - 25   2001.4

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  • 経済の再活性化と金融市場:PEFと年金基金の役割 (共著)

    大橋 和彦, 蜂谷豊彦と

    一橋ビジネスレビュー   48   80 - 107   2000.4

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  • Learing in the Era of Knowledge

    Kazuhiko OHASHI

    The Hitotsubashi review   119 ( 4 )   402 - 413   1998.4

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    DOI: 10.15057/12001

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  • The Costs and Benefits of Main Bank Relations

    大橋 和彦

    「Working Paper Series, Hitotsubashi University, Faculty of Commerce」 No. 27   1997.4

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  • Expected-Revenue-Maximizing Pass-Through Securitization under Severe Adverse Selection

    大橋 和彦

    「Working Paper Series, Hitotsubashi University, Faculty of Commerce」 No. 30   1997.4

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  • Futures Innovation under Hierarchically Asymmetric Information with Rational Investors

    大橋 和彦

    「Working Paper Series, Hitotsubashi University, Faculty of Commerce」No. 17   1996.4

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  • Securities Innovation and Financial System

    Kazuhiko OHASHI

    Business Review   43 ( 3 )   67 - 80   1995.4

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Books

  • 「ESGを巡る投資家と企業の行動の関係について」、『日本の金融システム : ポスト世界金融危機の新しい挑戦とリスク』第7章コメント

    大橋和彦( Role: Contributor第7章コメント)

    東京大学出版会  2023.9  ( ISBN:9784130461399

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    Total pages:xiv, 449p   Language:Japanese  

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  • Dynamic Relationship between Volatility Risk Premia of Stock and Oil Returns” in “Commodity Market Finance” edited by Kentaro Iwatsubo

    Nobuhiro Nakamura, Kazuhiko Ohashi, Daisuke Yokouchi( Role: Contributorpp115-124)

    MDPI  2023.8  ( ISBN:9783036590295

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  • MBA Challenge, Finance (jointly worked)

    ( Role: Contributor)

    2017.3  ( ISBN:9784502217814

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    Language:Japanese   Book type:General book, introductory book for general audience

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  • Risk and Liquidity (Translation)

    Kazuhiko OHASHI, Masazumi Hattori( Role: Joint translator)

    Toyo Keizai Shimpo Sha  2015.1 

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    Language:Japanese   Book type:Scholarly book

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  • 「コモディティ市場と投資戦略」 第8章 (共著)

    池尾和人, 大野早苗編著( Role: Joint author長期的な相互関係を考慮したコモディティ価格モデル)

    勁草書房  2014.4 

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    Responsible for pages:189~209   Language:Japanese   Book type:Scholarly book

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  • 証券化の知識(第2版)

    大橋 和彦( Role: Sole author)

    日本経済新聞出版社  2010.2 

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  • 『経済制度の実証分析と設計』 所収 (共著)

    大橋和彦, 井坂直人, 斉藤誠との共( Role: Joint authorABS 発行市場における劣後引受の役割)

    勁草書房  2007.4 

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  • 「バイアウトファンド」 (共著)

    松木伸男, 本多俊毅( Role: Joint author)

    中央経済社  2004.4 

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  • 「入門 金融論」 (共著)

    池尾和人, 遠藤幸彦, 前多康男, 渡部努( Role: Joint author第2章担当)

    ダイヤモンド社  2004.4 

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  • 翻訳:「ファイナンスのための計量分析」 (著者:John Y Campbell, Andrew W. Lo, A. Craig MacKinlay,原本:The Econometrics of Financial Markets)(共訳)

    共訳者, 祝迫得夫, 中村信弘, 本多俊毅, 和田賢治( Role: Joint author)

    共立出版  2003.4 

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  • 「新世紀の先物市場」第3章

    大橋 和彦( Role: Joint author先物上場の決定、取引量、及び最適性について)

    一橋大学商学研研科編、東洋経済新報社  2002.4 

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    Responsible for pages:33~46   Language:Japanese   Book type:Scholarly book

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  • Capital Markets, Banking and Corporate Finance Macmillan Press, 編者:H. Osano and T. Tachibanaki, 担当部分:Chapter 10 (jointly worked)

    大橋 和彦( Role: Joint authorViable Design of a Security with a Pre-existing Market)

    -  2001.4 

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  • 「証券化の知識」

    大橋 和彦( Role: Sole author)

    日経文庫837/A44 日本経済新聞社  2001.4 

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  • 「現代経済学の潮流1999年」第3章、大山道弘他編

    大橋 和彦( Role: Joint author証券の創造と情報の非対称性)

    -  1999.4 

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  • 「変革期の日本の金融市場」第7章 (共著)

    大橋 和彦( Role: Joint author情報の非対称性下におけるパス・スルー証券の創造)

    (]G0046[)野直行編  1999.4 

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  • 翻訳:「資産価格の理論」(著者:Darrell Duffie, 原本:Dynamic Asset Pricing Theory, Pinceton Press)(共訳)

    共訳者, 山崎昭, 桑名陽一, 本多俊毅( Role: Joint translator)

    創文社  1998.4 

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    Language:Japanese   Book type:Scholarly book

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  • 翻訳:「ファイナンスハンドブック」 (共訳)

    共訳者, 監訳者, 今野浩, 古川浩一を含( Role: Joint translator担当部分:12章: マーケット・マイクロストラクチャー、23章:情報の非対称性下における資金調達)

    朝倉書店  1997.4 

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    Language:Japanese   Book type:Scholarly book

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Presentations

  • Keynote Speech Invited

    Kazuhiko Ohashi

    2023.11 

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    Event date: 2023.11

    Language:Japanese   Presentation type:Oral presentation (keynote)  

    File: 231110 ファイナンス・ワークショップ「金融市場の摩擦と金融資産の価格形成」の模様 IMES DP 24-J-03.pdf

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  • Seasonality in the impact of solar power generation on the electricity price level and variability

    Kazuhiko Ohashi

    2023 Asian Finance Association Annual Meeting  2023.6 

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    Event date: 2023.6

    Language:English   Presentation type:Oral presentation (general)  

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  • Seasonality in the impact of solar power generation on the electricity price level and variability

    Kazuhiko Ohashi

    2022 Asian Meeting of the Econometric Society in East and South-East Asia  2022.8 

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    Event date: 2022.8

    Language:English   Presentation type:Oral presentation (general)  

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  • Structural change in the relationship between electricity and fuel prices: Evidence from the Japanese electricity market

    Kazuhiko Ohashi

    2022 the 30th Nippon Finance Association Annual Meeting  2022.6 

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    Event date: 2022.6

    Language:Japanese   Presentation type:Oral presentation (general)  

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  • Seasonality in the impact of solar power generation on the electricity price level and variability Invited

    Kazuhiko Ohashi

    Keynote lecture, The 1st Energy and Informatics International Forum (Tokyo Institute of Technology, Tokyo, Japan, Online)  2021.12 

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    Event date: 2021.12

    Language:English   Presentation type:Oral presentation (keynote)  

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  • Advances in Data Science and Direction of Finance Research Invited

    Kazuhiko Ohashi, Toshiaki Watanabe

    2021.11 

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    Event date: 2021.11

    Language:Japanese   Presentation type:Oral presentation (invited, special)  

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  • Perspective on Electricity Derivative Markets Invited

    Kazuhiko Ohashi

    2021.11 

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    Event date: 2021.11

    Language:Japanese   Presentation type:Oral presentation (invited, special)  

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  • Detrimental Effects of Retention Regulation: Incentives of loan screening in securitization under asymmetric information International conference

    Kazuhiko Ohashi, coauthored with, Masazumi Hattori

    2011 Asian Meeting of Econometric Society  2011.8  Econometric Society

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    Language:English   Presentation type:Oral presentation (general)  

    Venue:Seoul, Korea  

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  • Detrimental Effects of Retention Regulation: Incentives of loan screening in securitization under asymmetric information International conference

    Kazuhiko Ohashi, coauthored with, Masazumi Hattori

    The 24th Asian Finance Association Annual Meeting  2012.7  Asian Finance Association and Taiwan Finance Association

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    Language:English   Presentation type:Oral presentation (general)  

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  • Analysing Emission Allowance as a Derivative on Commodity-Spread International conference

    Kazuhiko Ohashi, coauthored with, Katsushi Nakajima

    2011 FMA Conference  2011.10 

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    Language:English   Presentation type:Oral presentation (general)  

    Venue:Denver, Colorado, USA  

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  • Increasing Trends in the Excess Comovements of Commodity Prices International conference

    Kazuhiko Ohashi, coauthored with, Tatsuyoshi Okimoto

    2014 FMA Asian Conference  2014.5  Financial Management Association (FMA)

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    Language:English   Presentation type:Oral presentation (general)  

    Venue:Hitotsubashi University (Tokyo, Japan)  

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  • Increasing Trends in the Excess Comovements of Commodity Prices

    Kazuhiko Ohashi, coauthored with, Tatsuyoshi Okimoto

    秋田ファイナンス研究会  2014.5 

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    Language:Japanese   Presentation type:Oral presentation (general)  

    Venue:大学コンソーシアムあきた カレッジプラザ(秋田市、秋田)  

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  • Multiple Lenders, Temporary Debt Restructuring,and Firm Performance: Evidence from Contract-Level Data International conference

    Kazuhiko Ohashi, coauthored with, Daisuke Miyakawa

    The 28th Asian Finance Association Annual Meeting  2016.6  Asian Finance Association

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    Language:English   Presentation type:Oral presentation (general)  

    Venue:Bangkok, Thailand  

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  • Increasing Trends in the Excess Comovements of Commodity Prices International conference

    Kazuhiko Ohashi, coauthored with, Tatsuyoshi Okimoto

    The 26th Asian Finance Association Annual Meeting  2014.6  Asian Finance Association

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    Language:English   Presentation type:Oral presentation (general)  

    Venue:Bali, Indonasia  

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  • When is a CAT index futures traded and preferred to reinsurance? — Trade-off between basis risk and adverse selection — Invited International conference

    Kazuhiko Ohashi

    The 5th International Symposium on Disasters and Human Survivability: Enhancing Resilience to Risks Threatening the Future of Humanity  2016.11  Graduate School of Advanced and Integrated Studies in Human Survivability, University of Kyoto

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    Language:English   Presentation type:Oral presentation (general)  

    Venue:Graduate School of Advanced and Integrated Studies in Human Survivability, University of Kyoto, Kyoto, Japan  

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  • Multiple Lenders, Temporary Debt Restructuring,and Firm Performance:Evidence from Contract-Level Data International conference

    Kazuhiko Ohashi, coauthored with, Daisuke Miyakawa

    The 2016 Asian Meeting of the Econometric Society (AMES2016)  2016.8  Econometric Society

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    Language:English   Presentation type:Oral presentation (general)  

    Venue:Doshisha University (Kyoto, Japan)  

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  • 基調講演 「マイナス金利環境におけるファイナンス:課題と研究の潮流」 Invited

    大橋 和彦

    日本銀行金融研究所ワークショップ「マイナス金利環境にお けるファイナンス研究の展開」  2017.4  日本銀行金融研究所

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    Language:Japanese   Presentation type:Oral presentation (general)  

    Venue:日本銀行(中央区、東京)  

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  • Seasonality in the impact of solar power generation on the electricity price level and volatility International conference

    Kazuhiko Ohashi, Nobuhiro Fuke

    The 29th Nippon Finance Association Annual Meeting  2021.6  The Nippon Finance Association

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    Language:Japanese   Presentation type:Oral presentation (general)  

    Venue:Tokyo Institute of Technology, Tokyo, Japan, Online  

    This paper analyzes the impact of the introduction of solar power generation on wholesale electricity prices by conducting a quantile regression using electricity prices, electricity demand, and solar power generation in the Kyushu area from April 2016 to March 2020 as the main target data in Japan, where trading in the wholesale electricity market is increasing and renewable energy generation, especially solar power, is rapidly increasing. We analyzed the impact of the introduction of solar power on wholesale electricity prices. As a result, it was confirmed that an increase in electricity demand raises electricity prices, while an increase in PV generation reduces electricity prices. It was also found that the effect of PV power generation on reducing electricity prices was greater during times of high electricity demand, and that the effect of PV power generation on electricity prices for the electricity price quantiles differed by season, with PV power generation reducing electricity prices for the higher quantiles in summer. More importantly, the analysis of electricity price volatility shows that the effect of PV power generation on reducing electricity price volatility is greater in summer. This is presumably because the positive correlation between electricity demand and PV generation is stronger in summer than in other seasons. These results show that the impact of wind power and solar power on electricity prices differs even for the same renewable energy sources, and that the impact of solar power on the electricity market differs by region even for the same type of power. Understanding these characteristics of the impact of solar power on electricity prices will help us to more accurately value solar power and to make regional business assumptions.

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  • Pricing of Emission Allowance as a Derivative on Commodity-Spread International conference

    Kazuhiko Ohashi, coauthored with, Katsushi Nakajima

    2011 ANNUAL MEETING OF THE MIDWEST FINANCE ASSOCIATION  2011.3  MIDWEST FINANCE ASSOCIATION

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    Language:English   Presentation type:Oral presentation (general)  

    Venue:Chicago, Illinois, USA  

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  • 「Expected-Revenue-Maximizing Pass-Through Securitization under Severe Adverse Selection,JAFEE」

    大橋 和彦

    日本金融・証券計量・工学学会  1997.12 

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    Language:English   Presentation type:Oral presentation (general)  

    Venue:東京工業大学  

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  • Pricing of Emission Allowance as a Derivative on Commodity-Spread International conference

    Kazuhiko Ohashi, coauthored with, Katsushi Nakajima

    The 23th Asian Finance Association Annual Meeting  2011.7  Asian Finance Association

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    Language:English   Presentation type:Oral presentation (general)  

    Venue:Macao, China  

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  • Detrimental Effects of Retention Regulation: Incentives of loan screening in securitization under asymmetric information

    Kazuhiko Ohashi, coauthored with, Masazumi Hattori

    第19回 日本ファイナンス学会年次大会  2011.5  日本ファイナンス学会

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    Language:Japanese   Presentation type:Oral presentation (general)  

    Venue:早稲田大学(新宿区、東京)  

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  • Dynamic Relation between Volatility Risk Premia of Stock and Oil Returns Invited International conference

    Kazuhiko Ohashi

    AJRC-RIETI workshop on economic and financial analysis of commodity markets  2017.9  Australia-Japan Research Centre, Crawford School of Public Policy, Australian National University

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    Language:English   Presentation type:Oral presentation (general)  

    Venue:Australia-Japan Research Centre, Crawford School of Public Policy, Australian National University, Canberra, Australia  

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  • When is a CAT index futures traded and preferred to reinsurance? — Trade-off between basis risk and adverse selection —

    大橋 和彦

    第25回日本ファイナンス学会年次大会  2017.6  日本ファイナンス学会

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    Language:English   Presentation type:Oral presentation (general)  

    Venue:千葉工業大学(津田沼、千葉)  

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  • Non-affine and Non-Reduced Form Approach to Pricing of VIX and VVIX: Quadratic Diffusion Model International conference

    大橋 和彦

    Non-affine and Non-Reduced Form Approach to Pricing of VIX and VVIX: Quadratic Diffusion Model  2019.7  Asian Finance Association

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    Language:English   Presentation type:Oral presentation (general)  

    Venue:Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam  

    In a non-reduced form model of S&P500, VIX, VVIX, Kaeck (2018) has pointed out that an affine model cannot generate the empirically observed positive relation between VIX and VVIX. This paper provides one solution to this problem by developing a non-affine (quadratic) and non-reduced form model that successfully generates the positive VIX-VVIX relation. It also shows that consistently with the observation, the non-affine model developed here can generate negative VRP and VVRP simultaneously, which an affine model cannot generate.

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  • Dynamic Relation between Volatility Risk Premia of Stock and Oil Returns

    Kazuhiko Ohashi

    The 26th Nippon Finance Association Annual Meeting (2018)  2018.6  Nippon Finance Association

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    Language:Japanese   Presentation type:Oral presentation (general)  

    Venue:Hitotsubashi University (Chiyoda Campus, Tokyo)  

    Volatility Risk Premium (VRP), defined as the difference between implied and realized volatilities, is found to have predictive power on returns in many different assets e.g., stocks, exchange rates, and commodities. While most of the extant researches analyze the return-predictability of VRP, in this paper, we instead investigate the relation between the VRP of different assets, specifically stock and oil. Using a daily data of VRP from May 10, 2007 to May 16, 2017, we conduct VAR analyses on the stock and oil VRP and find that the effects of the stock VRP on the oil VRP are limited and, if any, short-lived. On the other hand, the VRP of oil has significantly positive and long-lasting effects on that of stock after the outbreak of financial crisis. These results suggest that the investors' sentiments (measured by VRP) are transmitted from the oil market to the stock market over time, but not the other way around, which is rather unexpected because financialization of commodities means the massive increase of investment in commodities by the investors in the traditional stock and bond markets, and hence the direction of effects is thought to be from the stock market to the commodity market.

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  • Variance Risk Premium and Predictability of Returns: Quadratic Variance, Self-Exciting jump Models

    中村信弘

    Nippon Finance Association  2020.6 

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    Language:English   Presentation type:Oral presentation (general)  

    Venue:オンライン  

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  • 基調講演「ビッグデータとAI のファイナンスへの利用」 Invited

    大橋 和彦

    日本銀行金融研究所ワークショップ「ビッグデータ・AI を活用したリスク計測・分析」  2019.11  日本銀行金融研究所

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    Language:Japanese   Presentation type:Oral presentation (general)  

    Venue:日本銀行本館、中央区、東京  

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  • Seasonality in the impact of solar power generation on the electricity price level and volatility

    Kazuhiko Ohashi, Nobuhiro Fuke

    The Japanese Economic Association 2021 Spring Meeting  2021.5  The Japan Economic Association

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    Language:Japanese   Presentation type:Oral presentation (general)  

    Venue:Kwansei Gakuin University, Hyogo, Japan, Online  

    This paper analyzes the impact of the introduction of solar power generation on wholesale electricity prices by conducting a quantile regression using electricity prices, electricity demand, and solar power generation in the Kyushu area from April 2016 to March 2020 as the main target data in Japan, where trading in the wholesale electricity market is increasing and renewable energy generation, especially solar power, is rapidly increasing. We analyzed the impact of the introduction of solar power on wholesale electricity prices. As a result, it was confirmed that an increase in electricity demand raises electricity prices, while an increase in PV generation reduces electricity prices. It was also found that the effect of PV power generation on reducing electricity prices was greater during times of high electricity demand, and that the effect of PV power generation on electricity prices for the electricity price quantiles differed by season, with PV power generation reducing electricity prices for the higher quantiles in summer. More importantly, the analysis of electricity price volatility shows that the effect of PV power generation on reducing electricity price volatility is greater in summer. This is presumably because the positive correlation between electricity demand and PV generation is stronger in summer than in other seasons. These results show that the impact of wind power and solar power on electricity prices differs even for the same renewable energy sources, and that the impact of solar power on the electricity market differs by region even for the same type of power. Understanding these characteristics of the impact of solar power on electricity prices will help us to more accurately value solar power and to make regional business assumptions.

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  • Seasonality in the impact of solar power generation on the electricity price level and volatility

    Kazuhiko Ohashi, Nobuhiro Fuke

    Research group on commodity finance, The Japan Association of Real Options and Strategy  2021.4  Research group on commodity finance, The Japan Association of Real Options and Strategy

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    Language:Japanese   Presentation type:Oral presentation (general)  

    Venue:Tokyo, Online  

    This paper analyzes the impact of the introduction of solar power generation on wholesale electricity prices by conducting a quantile regression using electricity prices, electricity demand, and solar power generation in the Kyushu area from April 2016 to March 2020 as the main target data in Japan, where trading in the wholesale electricity market is increasing and renewable energy generation, especially solar power, is rapidly increasing. We analyzed the impact of the introduction of solar power on wholesale electricity prices. As a result, it was confirmed that an increase in electricity demand raises electricity prices, while an increase in PV generation reduces electricity prices. It was also found that the effect of PV power generation on reducing electricity prices was greater during times of high electricity demand, and that the effect of PV power generation on electricity prices for the electricity price quantiles differed by season, with PV power generation reducing electricity prices for the higher quantiles in summer. More importantly, the analysis of electricity price volatility shows that the effect of PV power generation on reducing electricity price volatility is greater in summer. This is presumably because the positive correlation between electricity demand and PV generation is stronger in summer than in other seasons. These results show that the impact of wind power and solar power on electricity prices differs even for the same renewable energy sources, and that the impact of solar power on the electricity market differs by region even for the same type of power. Understanding these characteristics of the impact of solar power on electricity prices will help us to more accurately value solar power and to make regional business assumptions.

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  • Dynamic Relation between Volatility Risk Premia of Stock and Oil Returns International conference

    大橋和彦

    The 4th annual J.P. Morgan Center for Commodities (JPMCC) “New Directions in Commodities Research” international symposium  2021.8  The J.P. Morgan Center for Commodities, University of Colorado Denver

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    Language:English   Presentation type:Oral presentation (general)  

    Venue:Denver, Colorado, USA, Online  

    Volatility Risk Premium (VRP ), defined as the difference between implied and realized volatilities , is found to have predictive power on returns in many different assets e.g., stocks, exchange rates, and commodities. While most of the extant researches analyze the return predictability of VRP , in this paper, we instead investigate the relation between the VRP of different assets, specifically stock and oil. Using a daily data of VRP from May 10, 2007 to May 16, 2017 , we conduct VAR analyses on the stock and oil VRP and find that t he effects of the stock VRP on the oil VRP are limited and, if short lived. On the other the VRP of oil has significantly positive and long lasting effects on that of stock after the outbreak of financial crisis. These results suggest that the investors’ sentiments (measured by VRP ) are transmitted from the oil market to the stock market over time, but not the other way around, which is rather unexpected because financialization of commodities means the massive increase of investment in commodities by the investors in the traditional stock and bond markets, and hence t he direction of effects is thought to be from the stock market to the commodity market.

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Awards

  • IMCA(Investment Management Consultants Association)Edward D. Baker III Journal Award Honorable Distinction

    2014.3   IMCA(Investment Management Consultants Association)   The Relative Asset Pricing Model: Toward a Unified Theory of Asset Pricing

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    Country:United States

    The Relative Asset Pricing Model: Toward a Unified Theory of Asset Pricing, (2014) Journal of Investment Consulting Vol. 15 (1), pp 51-66 (Co-authored with Arun Muralidhar and Sunghwan Shin)

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Research Projects

  • Global Patterns of Climate Change and the Impact of Extreme Weather Events on Economic Activities and Financial Markets

    Grant number:24K00242  2024.4 - 2029.3

    Japan Society for the Promotion of Science  Grants-in-Aid for Scientific Research  Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (B)

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    Grant amount:\18460000 ( Direct Cost: \14200000 、 Indirect Cost:\4260000 )

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  • Impact of solar power generation on electricity prices and their volatility

    Grant number:24K04940  2024.4 - 2027.3

    Japan Society for the Promotion of Science  Grants-in-Aid for Scientific Research  Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)

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    Grant amount:\4550000 ( Direct Cost: \3500000 、 Indirect Cost:\1050000 )

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  • ボラティリティの階層的構造、および高次モーメントリスクと資産価格理論

    Grant number:24K00270  2024.4 - 2027.3

    日本学術振興会  科学研究費助成事業  基盤研究(B)

    大橋 和彦, 本多 俊毅, 中村 信弘

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    Grant amount:\9750000 ( Direct Cost: \7500000 、 Indirect Cost:\2250000 )

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  • 経済危機を「自然実験」とした本邦企業による流動性保有の実体的効果の実証分析

    Grant number:21H00728  2021.4 - 2024.3

    日本学術振興会  科学研究費助成事業  基盤研究(B)

    服部 正純, 安田 行宏, 大橋 和彦, 藤谷 涼佑

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    Grant amount:\17160000 ( Direct Cost: \13200000 、 Indirect Cost:\3960000 )

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  • Effects of hierarchical volatility, co-skewness and covariance on asset prices

    Grant number:21H00727  2021.4 - 2024.3

    Japan Society for the Promotion of Science  Grants-in-Aid for Scientific Research Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (B)  Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (B)

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    Grant amount:\8970000 ( Direct Cost: \6900000 、 Indirect Cost:\2070000 )

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  • 高次モーメント(ボラティリティ・スキューネス)を用いた資産価格と投資運用の分析

    2018.4 - 2021.3

    日本学術振興会  科学研究費助成事業  基盤研究(B)

    大橋和彦

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    Authorship:Principal investigator  Grant type:Competitive

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  • Analysis of Structural Changes in Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy and Asset Allocation

    Grant number:25285097  2013.4 - 2016.3

    Japan Society for the Promotion of Science  Grants-in-Aid for Scientific Research  Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (B)

    Hayashi Fumio, OHASHI Kazuhiko, HONDA Toshiki

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    Grant amount:\17420000 ( Direct Cost: \13400000 、 Indirect Cost:\4020000 )

    Before and after the Lehman crisis, there have been notable developments in financial markets. Among them are the introduction of commodity futures indexes and the arrival of the zero-interest rate monetary policy. We empirically analyzed the connection between those developments and the structure of returns for major asset markets and the behavior of macro variables. We do so by utilizing time-series techniques that allow for structural changes in the short and long runs and also a portfolio-choice theory with uncertain parameters. The returns we analyzed are for commodity futures, government bonds, Japanese stocks and stock mutual funds.

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  • Interdependencies in Financial and Physical Asset Markets and their Effects on Investments and Risk Management.

    Grant number:22330094  2010.4 - 2013.3

    Japan Society for the Promotion of Science  Grants-in-Aid for Scientific Research  Scientific Research (B)

    Kazuhiko Ohashi

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    Authorship:Principal investigator  Grant type:Competitive

    We analyzed asset prices and returns by incorporating linkages and relations among financial and physical asset markets. More precisely, we investigate theoretically and empirically the return characteristics of crude oil, heating oil, electricity, natural gas, emission allowance, several emerging currencies, interest rates, the global minimum variance portfolio, SRI and stock markets, short- and long-term bonds of several countries, and crude oil and price index of clean energy companies, by explicitly incorporating their interdependencies.

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  • Analysis of Portfolio Management - Risk Characteristics of New Investment Opportunities and Strategies

    Grant number:19330068  2007.4 - 2010.3

    Japan Society for the Promotion of Science  Grants-in-Aid for Scientific Research  Scientific Research (B)

    Kazuhiko Ohashi

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    Authorship:Principal investigator  Grant type:Competitive

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  • On optimal security design and financial contract

    Grant number:17330041  2005.4 - 2007.3

    Japan Society for the Promotion of Science  Grants-in-Aid for Scientific Research  Scientific Research (B)

    Kazuhiko Ohashi

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    Authorship:Principal investigator  Grant type:Competitive

    In this research project, we investigate several aspects of optimal security design and financial contract empirically and theoretically. First, using the data of publicly placed Japanese ABSs (asset backed securities), we analyze the effect of adverse selection (i.e., sellers/issuers of ABSs have more precise information than buyers/investors) on swap spreads of the ABSs, and find significantly negative relationship between excess subordination by issuers and swap spreads at the issuance. We also investigate the effect of asymmetric information and design of trading system on stock prices by using the data of stock lending fees in Tokyo Stock Exchange, and show that short-sales constraints reduce the adjustment speed of stock prices to negative information.
    Second, we theoretically analyze several problems in risk sharing through security design (optimal risk transfer, optimal consumption, optimal investment policy, and so on) in the setting where agents have stochastic differential utilities (SDU). We show that the optimal policies are characterized as solutions of forward-backward stochastic differential equations (FBSDE) and obtain the necessary and sufficient conditions for optimal policies. We also analyze the case where timing of risk-transfer is uncertain, and investigate risk transfer in the Knightian economy by using the robust utility maximization method proposed by Hansen and Sargent.
    In addition, we develop a model to describe stochastic movements of electricity prices and demands, and investigate desirable design of weather derivatives for electricity companies to hedge the risks of uncertain electricity prices and demands. Moreover, as an issue of financial contracting, we survey the relation between fund managers' fee schedule and their incentives, and investigate the relation between capital structures and stock returns to evaluate the benchmark for fund managers' performance measure.

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  • Managing new type of risks - Electricity, weather, and insurance risks and their derivatives-

    Grant number:13430024  2001 - 2002

    Japan Society for the Promotion of Science  Grants-in-Aid for Scientific Research  Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (B)

    MIURA Ryozo, HONDA Toshiki, NAKAMURA Nobuhiro, OHASHI Kazuhiko, NAGAYAMA Izumi

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    Grant amount:\14100000 ( Direct Cost: \14100000 )

    In this research project, we developed basic theories for managing new types of risks such as electricity, weather, and insurance. The main results that we obtained so far are as follows.
    The first is the derivation of pricing formula for "Edokko Options." The Edokko Option is a generalization of the alpha-percentile (or quintile) option. This formula gives us the price of an option whose payoff is determined by the frequency that the underlying asset price is less than a certain critical value in a certain period of time. We may apply this formula to price a weather derivatives whose payoff depends on the number of rainy days in a certain period of time e.g., between June 1 and July 31.
    The second is the analysis of optimal portfolio strategies in incomplete markets with price jump. Electricity prices sometimes jump, which is called price "spikes" and is an important characteristics of this market. Our second result provides a way to manage such discontinuous "jump" risks. This analysis enables us to calculate the premium of the insurance for such jump risks.
    The third is the analysis of liquidity of financial products to trade new (and not well known) risks. Taking CAT insurance futures and reinsurance markets as an example, we analyzed how the asymmetric information about the risks between the seller and the buyers affects the trade of the products. We obtain conditions under which new risks eventually can be traded as securities.

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  • 資産証券化の価格決定分析

    2000.4 - 2002.3

    科学研究費助成事業  奨励研究(A)

    大橋

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    Grant type:Competitive

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  • 資産証券化の決定と経済効果-情報の非対称性の影響-

    1997.4 - 1999.3

    科学研究費助成事業  奨励研究(A)

    大橋和彦

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    Authorship:Principal investigator  Grant type:Competitive

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  • 非対称的情報下における先物市場の創造の経済効果

    1996.4 - 1997.3

    科学研究費助成事業  奨励研究(A)

    大橋和彦

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    Authorship:Principal investigator  Grant type:Competitive

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