Updated on 2026/08/20

写真a

 
KOTANI HITOMU
 
Organization
School of Environment and Society Associate Professor
Title
Associate Professor
External link

Papers

  • Emotional responses and perceptions of false alarms in flood warnings and their impact on evacuation action: an empirical analysis of the Kyushu Region, Japan

    Mai Watanabe, Hitomu Kotani, Ryota Yagi, Yohei Sawada, Takuya Kawabata

    Journal of the Meteorological Society of Japan   2026.8

     More details

    Publishing type:Research paper (scientific journal)  

    DOI: 10.1007/s44394-026-00029-0

    researchmap

  • Does flood early warning performance affect flood damage? Evidence from the 2018 Japan Floods

    Hitomu Kotani, Wataru Ogawa, Kakuya Matsushima

    2026.3

  • Cry wolf effect in flood early warning

    Yohei Sawada, Ryota Yagi, Takuya Kawabata, Hitomu Kotani

    2026

  • Media coverage of Muslim communities’ disaster-related activities in Japan: A content analysis of four national newspapers, 1991–2021

    Hitomu Kotani, Hirofumi Okai

    2026

  • Inclusive Mass Fatality Management And Planning In Cremation-Dominant Societies: Policy Challenges And Recommendations From Japan

    Hitomu Kotani, Hirofumi Okai, Susumu Nejima, Maki Yamagata, Yuichi Sato, Naoki Maeno

    2026

  • Diagnosing spatiotemporal characteristics in flood warning false alarms in Japan

    Sultana Rajia, Hitomu Kotani, Mai Watanabe

    2026

  • Causal Effects of Perceived False Alarm Ratio on Flood Protective Actions during Heavy Rain Warnings in Japan: A Case Study of Tropical Storm Yun-Yeung in 2023

    Hiraku Matsuda, Hitomu Kotani, Masamitsu Onishi

    Weather, Climate, and Society   2025.10

     More details

    Publishing type:Research paper (scientific journal)  

    DOI: 10.1175/WCAS-D-24-0106.1

    researchmap

  • Using electric vehicles to power houses or travel during blackouts triggered by natural hazards: A choice experiment in Japan

    Shota Yamazaki, Hitomu Kotani, Kazuyoshi Nakano, Kakuya Matsushima

    Energy and Buildings   2025.9

     More details

    Publishing type:Research paper (scientific journal)  

    DOI: 10.1016/j.enbuild.2025.115801

    researchmap

  • Overview of the natural hazard exposure of mosques in Japan

    Hitomu Kotani, Seiya Hyodo, Hirofumi Okai

    Natural Hazards   2025.9

     More details

    Publishing type:Research paper (scientific journal)  

    DOI: 10.1007/s11069-025-07541-4

    researchmap

  • The Effect of Pay-It-Forward During Disasters on Social Networks: A Network Approach

    Riku Tanimoto, Hitomu Kotani

    Journal of Disaster Research   2025.6

     More details

    Publishing type:Research paper (scientific journal)  

    DOI: 10.20965/jdr.2025.p0377

    researchmap

  • Does the Performance of a Flood Early Warning System Affect Casualties and Economic Losses? Empirical Analysis Using Open Data from the 2018 Japan Floods

    Hitomu KOTANI, Wataru OGAWA, Kakuya MATSUSHIMA

    Journal of the Meteorological Society of Japan. Ser. II   2025

     More details

    Language:English   Publishing type:Research paper (scientific journal)  

    Flood early warning systems are crucial for mitigating flood damage; however, limitations in forecasting technology lead to false alarms and missed events in warnings. Repeated occurrences of these issues may cause people to hesitate to take appropriate action during subsequent warnings, potentially exacerbating flood damage. However, the effects of warning performance on flood damage in Japan have not been analyzed for actual flood events. This study empirically examined these effects by applying Bayesian regression analyses to open data on the 2018 Japan Floods in 127 municipalities in four prefectures (i.e., Okayama, Hiroshima, Ehime, and Fukuoka) for which data were available on the real-time flood warning map (Kouzui Kikikuru in Japanese) during the 2018 Japan Floods, which provides limited open data on warning performance. Based on these data, the false alarm ratio (FAR) and missed event ratio (MER) for each municipality before the 2018 Japan Floods were calculated and used as explanatory variables. The (1) fatalities, (2) injuries, (3) economic losses to general assets, and (4) economic losses to crops during the 2018 Japan Floods were used as outcome variables. Models with and without prefecture-specific effects (prefecture dummies) were considered. The results indicate that a higher FAR was associated with an increase in fatalities, injuries, and economic losses to general assets in the models without prefecture dummies. However, these effects were not clearly observed in models with prefecture dummies, which performed better in terms of the information criterion in cases of injuries and economic losses to general assets. Therefore, the effects of the FAR on outcomes other than fatalities should be interpreted with caution. By contrast, no prominent positive effect of MER was found for any outcome variable in either model. These results provide valuable insights for improving warning systems.

    DOI: 10.2151/jmsj.2025-025

    researchmap

  • Initial Responses of Mosques in Ishikawa and Toyama after the 2024 Noto Peninsula Earthquake, Japan

    Hitomu Kotani, Hirofumi Okai, Susumu Nejima, Mari Tamura

    Journal of Disaster Research   2024.12

     More details

    Publishing type:Research paper (scientific journal)  

    DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.4832380

    researchmap

  • Modeling the Dynamics of Social Preparedness with Regional Interactions to Explore Efficient Flood Early Warning Systems

    Hitomu Kotani, Wataru Ogawa, Kakuya Matsushima, Junichi Susaki, Yohei Sawada

    Weather, Climate, and Society   2024.10

     More details

    Publishing type:Research paper (scientific journal)  

    DOI: 10.1175/WCAS-D-23-0090.1

    researchmap

  • Activities and roles of mosques in Japan after the recent major earthquakes: A comprehensive study

    Kotani, H., Okai, H., Tamura, M.

    Progress in Disaster Science   20   2023

     More details

    Publishing type:Research paper (scientific journal)  

    DOI: 10.1016/j.pdisas.2023.100297

    Scopus

    researchmap

  • Purchase decision process and information acquisition of zero-energy houses in Japan

    Kotani, H., Nakano, K.

    Journal of Asian Architecture and Building Engineering   22 ( 2 )   2023

     More details

    Publishing type:Research paper (scientific journal)  

    DOI: 10.1080/13467581.2022.2047057

    Scopus

    researchmap

  • Mosque as a COVID-19 Vaccination Site in Collaboration with a Private Clinic: A Short Report from Osaka, Japan

    Mari Tamura, Hitomu Kotani, Yusuke Katsura, Hirofumi Okai

    2022

▼display all

Research Projects

  • Mass fatality management in Japan, a country with the highest cremation rate: a survey focusing on inclusiveness in death

    Grant number:25K21916  2025.6 - 2028.3

    Japan Society for the Promotion of Science  Grants-in-Aid for Scientific Research  Grant-in-Aid for Challenging Research (Exploratory)

      More details

    Grant amount:\6370000 ( Direct Cost: \4900000 、 Indirect Cost:\1470000 )

    researchmap

  • Theoretical and empirical analysis on cry wolf effects in flood prediction: Challenge for the design of flood early warning system

    Grant number:22K18822  2022.6 - 2025.3

    Japan Society for the Promotion of Science  Grants-in-Aid for Scientific Research  Grant-in-Aid for Challenging Research (Exploratory)

      More details

    Grant amount:\6370000 ( Direct Cost: \4900000 、 Indirect Cost:\1470000 )

    researchmap

  • Roles of mosques during disasters in Japan: interdisciplinary approaches

    Grant number:22H01611  2022.4 - 2026.3

    Japan Society for the Promotion of Science  Grants-in-Aid for Scientific Research  Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (B)

      More details

    Grant amount:\10140000 ( Direct Cost: \7800000 、 Indirect Cost:\2340000 )

    researchmap

  • Roles of mosques during disasters in Japan: interdisciplinary approaches

    Grant number:23K22881  2022.4 - 2026.3

    Japan Society for the Promotion of Science  Grants-in-Aid for Scientific Research  Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (B)

      More details

    Grant amount:\10140000 ( Direct Cost: \7800000 、 Indirect Cost:\2340000 )

    researchmap

  • ベイジアンSEMによる質的・量的情報の統合とその小規模コミュニティ調査への適用

    Grant number:21K18743  2021.7 - 2023.3

    日本学術振興会  科学研究費助成事業  挑戦的研究(萌芽)

    本田 利器, 小谷 仁務, 田中 尚人

      More details

    Grant amount:\5330000 ( Direct Cost: \4100000 、 Indirect Cost:\1230000 )

    本研究では,小規模コミュニティのようにデータ数が多くできない事例において,構造方程式モデリング(SEM)を適用できるようにするため,量的情報と質的情報を統合した分析を可能とする枠組みを構築するため,ベイズ理論を適用して定式化されたベイジアン SEMを利用する手法を提案する.
    初年度は,事前情報として与える条件の妥当性やその効果を定量的に計測するため,研究代表者の保有する既存の調査データを用いて,WAIC(Watanabe Akaike Information Criteria)およびWBIC(Watanabe Bayes Information Criteria)の適用性について検証した.算出手法やその精度,解析の安定性等についての知見を得るとともに,課題も明確にした.既往の事例においては,通常のSEMを用いた従来の検討では適切な解析が行えなかった複雑な構造を想定した分析に適用し,ベイジアンSEMを用いて事前情報を反映させることで同様の分析が実施可能となることを示した.また,技術普及が進みつつあり,サンプルを多く収集するのが難しいフェーズに対し,ベイジアンSEMを適用して技術普及メカニズムを分析した.
    また,実事例において適用するため,海外における地震により被災したコミュニティ(COVID-19が問題となっていない地域を選定)の復旧に関する情報を収集し,また,アンケート調査を実施した.質的にも量的にも十分なデータを得たと考えている.一方,国内の事例としては,熊本地震からの復興まちづくりや地方創生について,コロナ禍であることから文献調査などを中心に活動を行った.当該事例については今後調査を実施する予定である.

    researchmap

  • Social Network Analysis of Knowledge Transfer with a Focus on Context and Physical Environment

    Grant number:18K13845  2018.4 - 2022.3

    Japan Society for the Promotion of Science  Grants-in-Aid for Scientific Research  Grant-in-Aid for Early-Career Scientists

    Kotani Hitomu

      More details

    Grant amount:\4290000 ( Direct Cost: \3300000 、 Indirect Cost:\990000 )

    Public infrastructure (physical environment) can be a location of festivals and community events, and these events can form connections between local residents. Further, these connections can contribute to disaster prevention and recovery. In this research project, we developed theoretical and empirical models and analyzed (1) the process of social network formation in the presence of public infrastructure, (2) the process of network formation and knowledge transfer, and (3) the effect of knowledge and information transferred on reconstruction and disaster prevention. We presented frameworks that can analyze the effect of the form of infrastructure on social network formation and appropriate information provision in terms of the context between senders and receivers.

    researchmap

▼display all